See how today's game plays out. 10,000 times.
Built from live sportsbook odds, not made-up projections.
Trusted by Thousands of Sports Fanatics and Analysts Worldwide
One free 10,000-run simulation a day. No card necessary.
THE 30-SECOND VERSION
Market in, results out.
The sportsbook is already the model. We read from it, then play the game forward.
Read the market
Every priced market: moneyline, spread, total, periods, props, alternates.
Strip the vig
Margin out, both sides normalized to 100%. What's left is the honest implied probability.
Play the game
Scores, then periods, then every priced player. 10,000 times.
Aggregate
Score range, box score, distributions, and sim versus book on every line.
How it works
PRODUCT WALKTHROUGH, COMING SHORTLY A recorded run of the dashboard, start to finish.
THE ARCHITECTURAL FOUNDATION
Every ladder is a distribution.
Fourteen priced thresholds on a team total already describe a complete distribution over how many points the team scores.
No fitted curve, no Poisson assumption. The alternates are the distribution.
One point per priced threshold. Nothing interpolated between them.
WHAT ONE RUN GIVES YOU
A complete game, not a number.
Every simulation returns the whole dashboard, free or Pro.
Score center
Median margin and total, with the 80% range.
Distributions
Full margin and total bins, tails included.
Period markets
Quarters, halves, innings or periods, sim versus book.
Average box score
Every priced player's stat line, with sim hit % versus market %.
Specialty markets
First basket, goal or TD. Team rates sum to 100%.
Market agreement
A per-stat calibration score: how closely the sim tracks the book on priced props. A check on the simulator, not a signal.
READING A SIGNAL
Where the book disagrees.
About 92% of priced markets land inside ±5% of the sim's rate. The 1% outside ±10% get flagged.
Transparency signals, not recommendations. A disagreement worth noticing, nothing more.
| MARKET | SIM | BOOK | GAP | SIGNAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline · BOS −135 | 61.8% | 60.4% | +1.4 | SUPPORTED |
| Judge · H o0.5 | 71.4% | 68.9% | +2.5 | SUPPORTED |
| Run line · BOS −1.5 | 36.9% | 37.0% | −0.1 | NEUTRAL |
| NRFI | 54.0% | 53.6% | +0.4 | NEUTRAL |
| Total · Over 8.5 | 58.2% | 43.8% | +14.4 | OPPOSED |
| F5 total · Over 4.5 | 44.9% | 52.0% | −7.1 | OPPOSED |
| Inside ±5% · ~92% Inside ±3% · ~78% Outside ±10% · ~1% | ||||
COVERAGE
Every league we simulate.
One engine, twelve leagues. If the book prices the game, the simulator runs it.
- NBA Basketball SIMULATOR →
- WNBA Basketball SIMULATOR →
- MLB Baseball SIMULATOR →
- NHL Hockey SIMULATOR →
- NFL Football SIMULATOR →
- NCAAF College football SIMULATOR →
- CFL Football SIMULATOR →
- Soccer Five competitions, one hub MLSPremier LeagueLa LigaSerie ALigue 1 SIMULATOR →
NEXT NCAAB and the UEFA competitions.
SEE TODAY'S SLATE →PRICING
Free covers one game. Pro covers the whole slate.
Unlimited simulations for every game, with live odds before each run.
- Everything in Free, plus
- Unlimited 10,000-run simulations across all twelve leagues
- Run every matchup on today's slate, not just one free game
- Refresh live odds on demand before each simulation instead of using cached odds
- Compare stable medians for margin, total and win probability across matchups
- Cancel anytime
$19/month · cancel anytime
| What you get | Free | Pro |
|---|---|---|
| Full 10,000-run simulation | ✓ | ✓ |
| Complete output: box score, props, distributions, gap signals | ✓ | ✓ |
| Games per day | 1 | Unlimited |
| Odds freshness | Cached ≤75 min | Live, on demand |
| Compare medians across matchups | ✓ | |
| Re-run a game after the line moves | ✓ |
Common questions
What does SimTheGame actually do?
Published odds become 10,000 internally consistent game scripts and a full box score. It doesn't predict games or sell picks; it simulates what the priced market already implies.
What's the difference between Free and Pro?
Every sim is the full 10,000 runs with the complete output. Free is one game a day; Pro removes the limit and adds live odds.
Do you sell picks or betting advice?
No. We surface where the sim and the book disagree, but never tell you which side to bet.
Can I cancel?
Anytime, from the billing portal. You keep Pro through the end of the period.
Run your first sim free.
No card necessary. No picks. No noise.